Friday 3 August 2012

SPL - 4 August 2012

The most incredible off-season in history is finally over. No more Rangers in the SPL, two promoted teams, the return of the Dundee derby to go along with the Highland and Edinburgh derbies. Finally the new season is upon us! And with that, comes another wonderful opportunity to make money.

First week of the season is always tough, as it is often hard to gauge how much teams have naturally improved, and how quickly (and fluently) new signings will fit into the squad.

Celtic v Aberdeen (Celtic @ $1.22 – opened $1.20 multi only, u2.5 @ $2 – opened $2.10)
Celtic were champs last season, and got off to a solid start in the Champions’ League qualifiers. Easy money that they beat Aberdeen. Aberdeen shouldn’t be as hopeless this season as they were last, new signings will definitely provide a massive boost. Still, they are playing the champs…on opening day…at Celtic Park. Multi the $1.20 on offer for Celtic with any other bets you place.
Also recommend taking the u2.5 goals, freely  available at $2.
Dundee United v Hibs (Draw @ $3.50)
Dundee United were absolutely brilliant, and incredibly unlucky, in their Europa League qualifier on Thursday night against Dinamo Moscow. Incredible performance that shows how good they are. However, the short back up combined with the natural let down after the demoralising late goal conceded, I have them drawing in this one. They should win, and might very well, but the $3.50 on offer is excellent odds.
Hibs are ordinary, but they could sneak points in this. Small bets only.
Kilmarnock v Dundee (Kilmarnock @ $1.83)
I’m not a fan of Killie and have already taken them in a multi to get relegated. However, Dundee are definitely not ready for the SPL. No signings since they were informed (less than 2 weeks ago!) that they’ll be joining the SPL suggests their team is purely SFL1 ready. They might go okay, have a very solid manager, but won’t be ready for the opener. Killie are about the right odds in this one.
Ross County v Motherwell (Draw @ $3.20 – opened $3.25)
Ross County are a very good team, and all of Scotland will learn how good this season. Their home opener against a Motherwell side with European prospects bodes well for a potential draw. Motherwell are the better team, but with the potential some players may be rested, plus the long trip for the Steelmen both for this game, and the following week in Europe, leans me to the draw.

Good luck!

Tuesday 12 June 2012

A brief blog about my team - Rangers FC - RIP

So, for quite a long time I've followed Rangers.

Absolutely loved those squads of the early-mid 90s, with Laudrup (one of the all-time best), Gascoigne (no comment needed), McCoist, Gough, Durrant, Goram, Hateley - so many outstanding players. Yes, Rangers did buy some titles but they were damn good. And some of those signings for so very astute.

Walter Smith was a God. He really was.

Onto the later 90s there were new influences after Smith's departure (the first one) with Advocaat (or the Netherlands) taking over. Along with his takeover, Sky TV flooded the game with money. Yes. Flooded the SPL with money. Rangers went bezerk. In his first year alone, Advocaat spent like a trillion dollars. (I may be out a dollar or two with my estimation, but I'm sure I'm close) - Tore Andre Flo - 12 million pounds? Really? You could buy my town for that!

When Martin O'Neill (for mine, the greatest manager of all-time WITHOUT QUESTION) took over Celtic, Rangers FINALLY had the competition they craved since the late 80s.

O'Neill came in with effectively a history of getting the best of the players he had, without necessarily having the budget. Now, it appeared Celtic were prepared to afford him a more than reasonable budget.

As a result, Celtic won 3 of the next 4 championships (and 6 of the next 7 though those extras they weren't O'Neill's).

As a Rangers fan, I thought it would be harder to like those Celtic teams, but what O'Neill did was incredible. Not only in the SPL but in Europe. He won fairly and squarely and Rangers just seemed to be muddling about.

Still, Gers were my side, and I knew they'd comeback despite the ridiculous appointments of managers.

To this day, I maintain Alex McLeish is a completely overrated gimp who could not manage (and still cannot). Look at his signings that are listed below. It is a disgrace.

Brahim Hemdani
Jose-Karl Pierre-Fanfan
Federico Nieto
Dany N'Guessan
Julien Rodriguez
Sotirios Kyrgiakos
Filippo Maniero
Olivier Bernard
Francis Jeffers (may have been in a casket when signed)
Moses Ashikodi
Dada Prso
Dragan Mladenovic
Jukka Santala

Seriously. Do you know ANY of these guys?

I sitll maintain Paul LeGuen was not completely shite - though he obviously lost the title to Celtic within 4 months - not quite a record, but also not "swell". He was not good, at all, but I think McLeish's later years were far worse than LeGuen's year.

Rangers needed a resurrection...a hero, and on 10 January 2007, Walter Smith returned. Of course I'm not saying only Walter could manage Rangers, but appointing shit in his place is not gonna bring titles, nor hope, to the Gers faithful.

Those 2001 to 2007-odd teams were disgusting. As a Rangers fan I struggled to like them, apart from the obvious quality such as Barry Ferguson, Ronald de Boer, Mikel Arteta (actually I didn't like him, but he was decent) - ok that is all! (Frank de Boer was good, but Rangers signed him a week before he received his wheelchair licence)

They'd completely lost their identity, for mine, and were just signing whoever seemed to be in form, over the top expensive, and would even remotely consider joining the club. That is the lowest that it got for me.

On Walter's return, Rangers financial problems were fairly evident. He returned them to at least signing decent players, not Nuno Capucho, Emerson, Jean-Alain Boumsong (thank you Souness and Newcastle).

He signed some top players such as Steven Naismith, Steven Davis, Steven Whittaker (ok, not really good, got carried away with all the Stevens), Maurice Edu, Kyle Lafferty (I don't really like him), Pedro Mendes, Kenny Miller and Nikica Jelavic.

Rangers were back on track, albeit with less money to spend. But Smith's genious allowed Rangers to win more titles and finish runners-up in the UEFA Cup. In fact, Rangers won upon his second year of full return, 2008-09, then the next two years until his next retirement.

Without a heap of money, he achieved it again. Brilliance. Especially that 2010-11 year when Celtic had it in the bag!!!

In the April/May of 2011, Rangers were bought by Craig Whyte. For one pound. Yes. One solitary pound. Sir David Murray, the owner of Rangers since 1988, sold the club he bought and, supposedly, loved sold this club for a pound.

Shit. I'll pay 15 of them (okay, maybe 8)

It was evident at this point there were problems, but the full magnitude of the problems were not truly known until well after this sale. Unpaid taxes and the somewhat skeptical legitimacy of trusts set up by the club to pay players were unveiled by the BBC in the later months.

Craig Whyte did not help any situation by not paying any taxes since taking over the club. He also didn't help by, in general, being a monsterous #flogbag with his inability to even remotely pretend to like either the club or the fans during this ordeal.

It all came to a head in February when Rangers were put, voluntarily, by Whyte into administration.

Anyway, you all know the story.

The worst part of all of this, is the plight of the fan. Rangers fans, in general, have done nothing wrong. The problems created, either through ridiculous overspending, unpaid taxes or dubious trusts, were created by the SIR David Murray and the board. The people that the fans had good faith in to believe they were, at all times, acting in the best interests of the club.

We know better now.

Supposedly SIR David Murray is still worth a lot of money. Surely, if he has any love for Rangers, he'll bail them out of this predicament - as I would if I had even a quarter of the debt. However, I fear, he does not possess that love. And, just as surely, he MUST be stripped of his knighthood.

Unfortunately, it appears Rangers Football Club are destined for demise.

Sadly, again, the fans will pay for it. RIP. Rangers Football Club.

Watching the Euros - Part 1

Here are a few things we've learned from watching the European Football Championships over the past couple of days. In particular, the England/France game.

1 - Wayne Rooney's hair is ridiculous. No way he should be able to play while he looks like that (his head could also do with some modification)
2 - Joelen Lescott surely had water on the brain when he was a child. Not picking on him, but that is an odd head.
3 - Steven Gerrard is still brilliant. Wonderful free kick pass to Lescott who scored England's goal v France. What might've been for Gerrard (and England)...
4 - I don't like Frank Ribery nor his nose.
5 - What is it with these "pretty" and "fancied" wingers like Robben, Ronaldo and Ribery? All of them play the refs more than the do with themselves.
6 - Robben's shirt is painted on
7 - England need him, so why not? Bring back Alan Shearer
8 - The Irish were robbed. A definite penalty, an offside Croatian goal and...ok, they weren't robbed. Still...
9 - Germany will win their group. France will still win theirs. Spain should too. Russia for Group A?

More to come...

Wednesday 11 April 2012

NHL Playoff Preview

The regular season is over, the playoff matchups are set and it is time for the real hockey to get started. But first we should probably re-cap my pre-season predictions and tips to see just how little I really know about the game. This should be amusing.

1.       My first prediction was that Vancouver was a "lock” to finish on top of the Western Conference which they have ended up doing but I would hardly say it was a lock. St Louis sure made them work for it. Also suggested Washington will probably do the same in the East and well, besides the first fortnight of the season, they never looked like it. Half right.

2.       Up next was the Flyers finishing seventh at best in the East. In the end they finished fifth but with the third best record and without Chris Pronger for the most part. Much better than I expected.

3.       Evgeni Malkin will not win the Art Ross or the Hart Trophy this season. No spinning how wrong I have been with this one. Malkin has finished the season 12 points clear of Steven Stamkos to clinch his second Art Ross despite playing in seven fewer games.  He is also widely considered a sure thing for Hart Trophy. Stamkos probably the only realistic threat but with Tampa missing the playoffs and the all round game of Malkin, I think I can safely say I have struck out on this one.

4.       My fourth prediction was that the Pacific division was going to be the toughest by far. Yeah I am really on fire hey. Anaheim were ordinary and Los Angeles and San Jose never lived up to the expectations I had for them. The Coyotes, Sharks and Kings make the playoffs but they are the only teams in the West to do so without 100 points. The Central and the Atlantic divisions could both mount claims for being the toughest divisions this season.

5.       Up next was that Brendan Shanahan was going to be super busy and my god has that been right. Next

6.       Teemu Selanne will get the 59 points required to pass Jari Kurri as the leading point scoring Finn in the NHL. At age 41, he has finished the season with 66 points, playing all 82 games and leading the Ducks in points #wow

I’ll give myself 2.5 of these predictions right out of 6 which is pretty ordinary. Anyway I also suggested a few plays on Division winners etc at the start of the season so lets see how they have panned out.

Washinton to win their division and although they took it down to the last game they finished two points behind Florida. -1 unit

In the Northeast we took both Boston and Buffalo and the Bruins end up getting the job done at $2.50. +.5 units

In the Atlantic I thought Pittsburgh would win but suggested we take the Rangers as they were the good value at $5 and boy was that a good move. +4 units

 Vancouver just takes out the Northwest (ok they smashed it in) at $1.20. +.2 units

In the pacific we took the Sharks at $2.10, again this went down to the final day but the Coyotes took the title. -1 unit

 Finally in the Central we took both Chicago and Detroit and they both racked up over 100 points yet still finished 3rd and 4th in the division with the Blues taking it out. -2 units

The other suggested bet that has been settled was the “super division” in which we took both Washington and Vancouver. With the Canucks finishing the regular season with the best record in the league we cash this bet at $4.50. +2.5 units 

So with all that done we finish 3.2 units up. There were three other suggested bets that are yet to be settled, which are San Jose to win the Western Conference final at $6, Pittsburgh to win the Eastern Conference final at $7 and then the Penguins to win the cup at $11. Really regretting the San Jose play but loving the Penguins plays and especially the value.



New York (1) v Ottawa (8)

The Rangers have impressed all by finishing the regular season on top of the Eastern Conference. They only weakness they have is the power play which has been poor all season, luckily for them they come up against one of the poorer penalty kills in the Senators. They appear to be stronger in all areas yet the senators still won the season series three games to one. The top line of Alfredsson, Spezza and Michalek has gotten it done all year long, but in the playoffs secondary scoring is vital and that is the key to this matchup. Will the likes of Foligno, Turris and Greening step up? Playoffs is also a tough time to do it but against Lundqvist, I don’t think so. Whilst that season series grabs your attention you don’t finish on top of the conference unless you can deal with a team like the Senators comfortably. Rangers in five


Boston (2) v Washington (7)

 The defending cup champs get their defense off and running against perennial playoff failures the Capitals. Washington has had anything but a smooth season firing coach Bruce f@#king Boudreau early on and then struggling for long sections of the season. Boston has had a roller coaster season of their own but come in playing some solid hockey. Horton will not return and Boychuck may miss the start of the series. The news is a little better for the Caps with Backstrom finally returning at the end of the regular season although in net is where they are hurting without Vokoun and Neuvirth. Although Braden Holtby is largely inexperienced, I don’t actually rate Vokoun and Neuvirth, so Holtby is not a large downgrade, if at all. So for me that is the key matchup, if Holtby can at best match Tom Thomas, or at worst not be terrible, then I see this series going to the wire. Due to their underwhelming regular season the Capitals actually enter the playoffs without a mountain of pressure and I think they will respond accordingly, huge potential for the Bruins to underestimate this matchup. Capitals in seven


Florida (3) v New Jersey (6)
 Welcome back to the playoffs Florida, a division title no less. Your reward is a matchup with a tough New Jersey outfit that racked up eight more points than you in the regular season. If ever you needed a reminder that home ice was not a free pass to the second round then this is it. The Devils have been playing well coming down the stretch whilst the Panthers have struggled, barely holding onto the division title. Yet they did split the season series 2-2, with one of the losses coming in overtime. It is worth noting that the Devils have an amazing record 12-4 record in shoot outs and the Panthers a lowly 6-11, that there is effectively the difference between the two regular season records. As these two teams go to overtime more than most we may be set for a few extra periods and I think whoever can come up big will in these game will advance. For New Jersey, Clarkson is clutch if he plays and Sykora has been the OT hero before, whilst for Florida it could be any of a half dozen, that’s their strength, but Weiss and Versteeg are most likely. This will go all the way and a bounce either way may decide it. Devils in seven


Pittsburgh (4) v Philadelphia (5)

If you can only choose one series to watch in the first round, let it be this one. These two teams plain hate each other and this series will be a war. The Flyers had the Penguins measure during the regular season winning four of the six meetings, with one of the losses coming in the last game of the season in which both teams had little to play for. However the Penguins weren’t always at full strength so that may be a little misleading. Unless Bryzgalov gets hot I think we have to expect that Pittsburgh will be able to score fairly regularly, as they did during the regularly season leading the league in goals and averaging 3.33 goals a game in the 6 meeting with the Flyers. The key matchup for me then is the line of Cooke-Staal-Kennedy against Hartnell-Giroux-Jagr. The top line for the Flyers will be heavily relied upon to match the output of Crosby and Malkin. With the Penguins having home ice you can be sure Staal will be shadowing Giroux everywhere for the first two games. Whoever wins that battle goes a long way towards winning the series. Penguins in six


Vancouver (1) v Los Angeles (8)

Looking at the record of these two teams then this really is a mismatch, but when the Kings traded for Jeff Carter they found some mojo and have been very solid down the stretch. Forget the first half of the season, playoffs is all about current form. The trouble is returning from another foot injury and is no certainty to start game one, although it does appear likely. Likewise Daniel Sedin is still uncertain for Vancouver and even if he does don’t be surprised if the Kings make a run at him to “test him out” as they have shown they are willing push the boundaries for the cause. The key matchup in this series is in net, Quick is the best goalie in the West (the league?) and he comes up against the top duo in Luongo and Schneider, yet somehow the Canucks manage to turn this into a negative come playoff time. Luongo is so worried about making a mistake because he might be replaced, that mistakes are bound to happen. Vancouver should win in four but this will inevitably be a journey. Canucks in six


St Louis (2) v San Jose (7)

I’m not surprised by this matchup but I am by the seedings, what a season for both of these outfits. The Sharks appear to have all the talent and depth yet the Blues have been getting it done since Ken Hitchcock took over. For the Blues it is all about preventing goals with another super duo in net, in Elliot and Halak, although because of this it’s far from certain who will get the start. Elliot is carrying a niggle though, so advantage Halak for game one? In the scoring department it is a case of scoring by committee which is often seen as a negative but not for mine, it just makes them harder to shut down. The Sharks will need to score two or three goals a game to get the W and they do have some scoring depth in Couture, Pavelski and Marleau who all scored 30 this season, throw in Thornton, Havlat and Ryan “Brain Fade” Clowe and they may well be capable of getting those goals. However I am inclined to believe they won’t. The Blues won all four meetings this season, allowing just three goals, look for that trend to continue. Blues in five


Phoenix (3) v Chicago (6)

The power play for both of these teams are awful, Chicago is hoping the imminent return of captain Jonathan Toews will rectify that. I’m not buying it. I think this is something that they have had 82 games to address. Should Toews play game one, as good as he is, he won’t be even close to his sharpest and won’t be able to make the impact they need to save their PP. With that said their penalty kill is also dreadful and the Coyotes’ is much better. Doesn’t hurt too that Phoenix have a significant advantage in net with Mike Smith. The Blackhawks look to me like a team patching up one leak after another and the master that is Dave Tippett will be able to exploit that in a heartbeat. Chicago’s special teams are really bad, Toews is under done, Crawford is fragile at best and the young players on the third and fourth lines look out of their depth. Chicago probably are the better team but they would give anything for another month to prepare for playoffs. Coyotes in four


Nashville (4) v Detroit (5)

 It’s no secret that Nashville have pushed all their chips in this season but it doesn’t make the task any easier in the first round. Home ice was important against the Red Wings, because Detroit are bad away from home. So for me that makes game three absolutely crucial. If the Preds win game three then they win the series, that may be a little simplistic but that is just how I see it panning out. I give Nashville advantage in net and on defense, with Suter and Weber a powerhouse pairing but the addition of Hal Gill already has his name on the cup after matching up against Datsyuk and Zetterberg when they were flying. If the Red Wings are to progress they will need a more consistent effort from their top six forwards, I am not sure they will get much from their third and fourth lines, but is the desire still there for Franzen, Bertuzzi and Zetterberg? We know it is for Nashville and that’s why they will win this series, damn perseverance will drag it out longer than four or five games. Predators in six



So that about wraps it up, enough time to give my overall tips again and I will stick with the Penguins to win the cup (no bias I swear), but I am switching in the West with St Louis my tip to make it out of that conference. Obviously lost all faith in the Sharks but just like the way the Blues have been playing and think that an easier first round (jinx anyone?) should set them up nicely. So anyway feel free to tweet me anything hockey related during the playoffs and be sure to check out both #bucciovertimechallenge and #playoffbeard for some fun as they obviously crank up this time of year.

Cheers

@mal68au

Monday 12 March 2012

NCAA Tournament - Day One

Sunday 11 March 2012

Scottish Cup - 11 March 2012

One play on tonight's Scottish Cup games.

Motherwell @ $2.04 (v Aberdeen) - 2 units

Having a good go at this. Aberdeen have been much improved of late, evidenced greatly after their 1-1 draw at home to Celtic last week. But Motherwell are also in good form and they've looked quite focussed on winning the Cup this year. Taking them to win comfortably.

Thursday 1 March 2012

SPL - 3 March 2012

Three easy kills here.

Dundee United @ $1.69 (v Inverness CT)
Motherwell @ $1.73 (v Dunfermline)
Celtic @ $1.50 (v Aberdeen)
Celtic HT/FT @ $2.26

Also a multi of the three head-to-head games @ $4.38