Doomben
Race 7
4pm
Currently – Dead 5
Weather – Sunny, 24
Incredible news that the odds on favourite Hay List has been scratched from the Doomben 10,000. Hay List was obviously a big player in the race – a race that is now more wide open from a betting perspective. With Hay List scratched, a lot of value was scratched with him.
Market looks like this (Centrebet – always best odds!):
Beaded $3
Love Conquers All $3.5
Buffering $6
Border Rebel $6.5
Black Piranha $14
All Silent $17
No Evidence Needed $21
Sniper’s Bullet $34
I envisage Buffering leading, but not at any huge speed. Border Rebel sitting on its inside, slightly trailing. No Evidence Needed, Long Conquers next, followed by Beaded, Snipers, Piranha and All Silent who is well back.
At $6.5 I think Border Rebel is pretty good value given the run it will get. It is a very difficult horse to run down once it gets to the front. Forget its last run when there was made speed that set it up perfectly for Motspur.
Beaded will be hard to hold out – a versatile horse that shouldn’t get too far back. Big fan of that horse. Buffering should give a sight in front given the muddling tempo, All Silent will not be helped. No Evidence is not quite up to these horses for mine
The lay of the race is Love Conquers All. Second favourite at $3.5 I think it is unders. Yes it goes good first up, yes it ran a good race in the Doncaster. If you can give away those odds on Betfair, look into it.
Suggestion
Win Bet – Border Rebel
Save on – Beaded
Flexi Tri – 6,7 / 6,7,8 / 2,5,6,7,8 = $12 for 100% of the dividend
Good luck
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Have pushed Buffering out of second place in my tri, replaced with Black Piranha.
ReplyDelete6,7 the only two chances to win.
Still laying Love Conquers.
Missed the tri.
ReplyDeleteBeaded won! Great work. Yes, I did soil myself over the finish. BUT, you would've won backing Beaded (the save), plus laying Love Conquers.
Cashed up!!!