Saturday 22 October 2011

College Football - 22 October 2011

AUBURN @ LSU
Auburn +22

TEXAS A&M @ IOWA STATE
o66

GEORGIA TECH @ MIAMI (FL)
Miami -2.5

WESTERN MICHIGAN @ EASTERN MICHIGAN
Eastern Michigan +14

WASHINGTON @ STANFORD
Washington +21

OREGON STATE @ WASHINGTON STATE
Washington State -3

SMU @ SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
SMU +3

TEXAS TECH @ OKLAHOMA
Texas Tech +29

Scottish Premier League - Week 11 Preview

Scottish Premier League – Week 11 Preview

Four Saturday games and two Sunday games are the make up this week. Big news with St Johnstone manager Derek McInnes moving to Bristol City to take over.

This week some more value to be found, tips follow.

Motherwell v Kilmarnock (Motherwell @ $1.85)

The early kick-off on Saturday, and a potentially tricky tie, given Kilmarnock’s strong performance v Celtic last week, but Motherwell are a fairly classy side. Motherwell are currently in second place and while they haven’t been scoring a large number of goals of late, they have been dominating their games. On that basis, I’m happy to have them at home.

Dundee United v St Johnstone (Draw @ $3.30, St Johnstone @ $3.60)

Tricky game. The loss of McInnes makes it hard to gauge how St Johnstone will respond. Dundee United have been disappointing this season and, despite having lost a number of quality players this season, still have the talent to be better than their results suggest. Their home record is poor, while St Johnstone’s away record is quite good. I’m taking the draw due to the uncertainty of the impact of the change at St Johnstone but will also take a play on the St Johnstone win.

Inverness CT v Dunfermline (Inverness @ $1.86)

It’s hard to ever be incredibly confident when dealing with the two bottom sides of the SPL, however, I am more than confident with Inverness. They have put in some very good performances at home (despite the poor record) and while Dunfermline have a half decent away record, their recent form has shown they’ll be hard pressed to avoid relegation. I think there is value in the odds on offer.

St Mirren v Hibs (St Mirren @ $2.15)

All I really need to do is look at St Mirren’s performance v Rangers last week, when they effectively outplayed Rangers, and I’m convinced $2.15 is massive overs in this one. Hibs have been playing better of late, but last week at home against Motherwell they were played off the park. Easy money St Mirren.

Celtic v Aberdeen (Celtic HT/FT @ $1.60)

Disappointing to see such ordinary odds available for a Celtic win. Yes they should win, but their form of late has been far from convincing. In addition, Aberdeen’s form has been fairly decent. They’ve finally worked out how to score! Will take the Celtic HT/FT double in this one, but am not massively confident. Still, it is the best odds on offer for the game.

Hearts v Rangers (Draw @ $3.55)

Happy to take a draw in this. The sides drew when they last met on the opening day, and Hearts have been pretty decent of late too. Rangers have been the best side in the SPL this season but, again, last couple of games haven’t been that great. Given Hearts took points off Celtic when they met at Tynecastle, I think they’ll take points of Rangers at Tynecastle. Not sure they’ll beat them though.

BET OF THE DAY: Inverness CT

Thursday 13 October 2011

College Football - 13 October 2011

College Football games coming up for @AusSportsGuys

ARIZONA STATE @ OREGON
Arizona State +16

SOUTH CAROLINA @ MISSISSIPPI STATE
South Carolina -2.5

KANSAS STATE @ TEXAS TECH
Kansas State +3

MIAMI (FL) @ NORTH CAROLINA
Miami +3

UCF @ SMU
SMU -1.5
Some buy back UCF +3.5

IDAHO @ NEW MEXICO STATE
Idaho +4
Some buy back New Mexico State -1.5

PURDUE @ PENN STATE
Purdue +13

VIRGINIA TECH @ WAKE FOREST
Wake Forest +7

UTEP @ TULANE
Tulane -1

@AusSportsGuys

Scottish Premier League - Week 11 Preview

Scottish Premier League – Week 11 Preview

All six games this Saturday, with the Kilmarnock/Celtic game the early one. After a week off from the Euro qualifier, we return with six quality games, all on the Saturday. Kilmarnock and Celtic kick off in the early game.

Kilmarnock v Celtic (Celtic @ $1.36)

Without doubt Celtic have been struggling for form. Last time off a break they smashed Motherwell 4-0. While I think the $1.36 is unders, I cannot see Killie getting any points in this one - their form has been ordinary of late.

Aberdeen v Dundee United (Draw @ $3.20, Dundee United @ $2.70)

Aberdeen have definitely improved of late, smashing 4 goals past an ordinary Dunfermline, AND it could’ve been more if not for some outstanding goalkeeping. I like the draw in this one, but Dundee United’s away form makes me want to throw a few bucks on their win also.

Dunfermline v Hearts (Hearts @ $2.00)

Dunfermline have been very poor of late, while Hearts come off a home win against Celtic. I don’t expect this to be an absolute walk in the park as Hearts have struggled when they have to force the action as I expect they’ll have to do here. Still, happy to take the $2 on offer for a Hearts win.

Hibs v Motherwell (Draw @ $3.20, Motherwell @ $2.55)

Hibs have been playing good football of late and I can see that continuing in the game at home to Motherwell. Will take the draw but also back a Motherwell win as they should really win. The value is in the draw however.

Rangers v St Mirren (u2.5 goals @ $2.40)

Rangers should win this, but I see it as low scoring. Therefore, the $2.40 on offer for under 2.5 goals scored looks enticing. Definitely the value bet in the game, unless you want to try to predict the final score. Good odds on offer.

St Johnstone v Inverness CT (St Johnstone @ $1.90)

St Johnstone have the hottest SPL striking partnership at the moment and hopefully the international break did not make them cool off. St Johnstone should win this though, as you know, I have a lot of time for Inverness. Not at McDiarmid Park however.

@Wiggum7534

Friday 7 October 2011

College Football 7 October 2011

CFB Today we have -

CALIFORNIA @ OREGON
California +24

WESTERN KENTUCKY @ MIDDLE TENNESSE STATE
Middle Tennessee St -9
Some buy back with Western Kentucky +11.5

Good luck

@aussportsguys

NHL Preview

Hockey fans rejoice, the NHL season is upon us again. So here are a couple of bold and some not so bold predictions for the long season ahead.

• Vancouver a lock to finish on top of the Western Conference due to the poor Northwest Division rivals but they will not make it through to the cup final again. Washington will probably finish on top the East for the same reasons.

• Flyers will finish 7th in the East at best and may even miss the playoffs. All this talk of them challenging for the cup is just rubbish, having traded away Carter, Richards and even losing Leino they really need some more offensive punch. Sure they got Jagr but he is nearly 40 years old and he has played in Russia for the last three seasons where he has played 50 game seasons not 80 game seasons. This is a guy who should be complimenting your offense not someone you build your offense around. Look for them to fade in the new year and one or two injuries and they may well miss the playoffs completely.

• Evgeni Malkin will not win the Art Ross or the Hart trophies this year, anyone suggesting this is just being disrespectful to the likes of Perry, Ovechkin, Toews, Sedin’s and Stamkos. Sure he has won the Art Ross before and is capable of doing it again but he did blow out his ACL and MCL only 9 months ago and that usually takes about a season to reach previous levels again. He has only played a few pre-season games, some pretty impressive pre-season games for sure but are we getting carried away just a little? He will dominate and will have a great season but he will not win either of these trophies this year

• Pacific Division is set to be the toughest division in the league by far. The Ducks have all sorts of talent and Hiller (if healthy) makes them tough to beat. The Coyotes continue to lose talent but can develop it just as quick and Tippett can work miracles from the bench. Then you have the big improvers in the conference in the Kings. They have continued to develop nicely from within but have made a huge addition in the form of Mike Richards and a handy one in Simon Gagne. They will go deep in the playoffs. They won’t however win the division. The Sharks look very good and they will win it again.

• Brendan Shanahan is going to be super busy this year. The new tougher rules and harsher penalties are needed but it is just going to take players at least a year to change lifelong habits. With 1230 regular season games he will have his work cut out ensuring consistency with all the bans he hands out.

• The freak that is Teemu Selanne will get the 59 points required to pass Jari Kurri on the all-time leading point scoring list as the leading Finnish player in the History of the NHL. Selanne is 41 years old and has 1340 points and he is still fun to watch. He will no doubt be treated like a returning hero when he gets the chance to return to Winnipeg to play against the Jets this season where he scored 86 goals and 132 points in his first season in the NHL.

• And finally Pittsburgh will win the Stanley Cup. A month or so ago there were a number of questions around the Penguins going into this season. Will Malkin be any good? Will Crosby return at all? Will the players who lifted last year maintain that level? Now a month later it is clear only one question remains, that is when will Crosby return? Not if, but when. Malkin is flying, the rest of the team is balanced and Crosby is looking set to return within a month. Without Crosby this Pittsburgh team would be amongst the top four teams challenging for the cup, with him they are outright favourite. This is a squad that is settled, deep and most importantly all the key players have had time to gel and learn the system.
 
Division Winners
Division
Predicted Winner
Suggested bet (all odds from Sportingbet)
Southeast
Washington
Take the $1.40 on the Capitals, they are regular season bullies
Northeast
Boston
Boston ($2.50) but would have liked more value on Buffalo ($2.60)
Atlantic
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh ($2.70) is obvious but I like a roughie the Rangers ($5)
Northwest
Vancouver
Vancouver at $1.20 is a lock but you may want to multi it for value
Pacific
San Jose
Huge battle but the Sharks at $2.10 is still good value
Central
Detroit
Detroit ($2.50) or Chicago ($3) win this so take both
 
Some other suggested bets include the super division winner which is basically the team with the most wins at the end of the regular season. This appears to be a very simple bet to make as they only have seven teams in the market and all teams are $4 or greater. Due to the easy divisions Vancouver and Washington really do seem like the obvious picks and I would have suggested taking Vancouver at around $2, but $4.50 is brilliant. Take $4 on Washington as well and I think you should be quite pleased.
 
Conference winners are the teams to advance to the Stanley Cup finals and I like the San Jose Sharks at $6 and the Pittsburgh Penguins at $7.
 
And finally as mentioned earlier I like the penguins to win the cup and they are paying $11 and I really think this is just brilliant odds. Worth noting the value appears to be more in the Penguins making the final at $7 when comparing the odds to other teams making final and winning the cup.
 
Anyway that’s it for now, enjoy the season and good luck.

Saturday 1 October 2011

Scottish Premier League - Week 10 Preview

Scottish Premier League – Week 10 Preview

Mixed results midweek. Hope you followed the tweet of the Draw/Rangers result as the best bet following confirmation Rangers star Steven Naismith would not be playing following a two game suspension. But we missed out on the other game with Hibs having a shock home win at St Johnstone’s expense.

Another weekend full of fixtures with brief previews to follow.

Aberdeen v Dunfermline (Aberdeen @ $1.90, Draw @ $3.40)

This is the inaugural Friday night game in the SPL. Not exactly the dream matchup, and not one I’m overly keen to play. Aberdeen are struggling, while Dunfermline seem to be going backwards. Am taking the Aberdeen win purely cos they’re at home, but saving on the draw.

Dundee Utd v Motherwell (Draw @ $3.30)

Should be an entertaining contest. Dundee Utd have underperformed but are a decent side. Motherwell have hit the skids a little after an impressive start. Am going with the draw but no result would surprise me.

Rangers v Hibs (0-3 goals scored @ $1.53)

Rangers should win. They have the best form in the SPL. Despite Naismith’s absence, they should be far too good for Hibs. Having said that, I am expecting a decent performance from Hibs. Will take the 0-3 Total Goals Bands offered by Sportingbet.

Kilmarnock v St Johnstone (Draw @ $3.30, Kilmarnock @ $2.20)

Kilmarnock return home for an important game. Their home form has been good but they face a St Johnstone side who have an excellent away record. Will take the draw with a save also on the Killie win. No result would surprise in this one.

Inverness CT v St Mirren (Inverness @ $2.55, Draw @ $3.20)

I like Inverness at home in this one. They have been travelling along ok and are lengths better at home. St Mirren continue to do well but I feel the score line of their last game flattered them.

Hearts v Celtic (Celtic @ $1.65)

I expect an improved showing from Hearts compared to the crap they served at St Johnstone. I’m keen on the Celtic win though, but if there is any chance I see Majstorovic and/or Loovens lining up in defense for them, I will load up on Hearts. Good odds on offer for the Celtic win.