Well another round of AFL down and another week where Collingwood and Geelong cover the spread. Also another week where Port Adelaide don't cover the spread....
Collingwood 8-2
Geelong 9-1
Port Adelaide 2-9
Fremantle 3-7
St Kilda 3-7
Melbourne 3-7
Gold Coast 3-6
All teams offer a nice profit if you have been on or against all year.
Early lines for Round 12
St Kilda -12.5 Western Bulldogs +12.5
Adelaide +9.5 West Coast -9.5
Gold Coast +22.5 North Melbourne -22.5
Geelong -15.5 Hawthorn +15.5
Carlton -48.5 Brisbane +48.5
Sydney -24.5 Richmond +24.5
Fremantle -4.5 Essendon +4.5
Melbourne +34.5 Collingwood -34.5
It is a now a well known fact that teams coming off the bye are struggling big time. But as noted by one of the corporate bookmakers today they will now adjust the price accordingly.
Will some value appear for those teams coming off the bye? Especially at the line?
I will be having a little saver on the Tigers at +24.5. West Coast at -9.5 for mine is not enough against a terrible Adelaide team, even at home I am not sure that is enough.
The Gold Coast are a young team who will be up and down, after a gallant performance against the Eagles in Perth and the trip back, I would expect North Melbourne who are hitting some reasonable form to get the chocolates this week and I like the -22.5.
Early leans - Rich +24.5 / West Coast -9.5 / North Melbourne -22.5
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Hope you find a winner.
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