Saturday 4 February 2012

AFCON - Quarter Finals Day 1

So we are now at the knockout stage of the competition and it's fair to say a couple of teams have made it through that we probably didn't expect.

Looking to the first match on Sunday and Zambia take on Sudan. I think this will see the end of Sudan as Zambia look to be playing too well as a unit. The threat of Mayuka up front as well as Kalaba and the captain Katongo pushing on from midfield should be able to break down what has proven a stubborn Sudanese backline. I like this to be one of the tighter affairs and wouldn't be surprised if just the one goal for Zambia settles it. Looking to Sportsbet here for some value with one of their added markets in the "Match and total goals doubles".

Zambia to win and 1 or 2 goals in the match @ $3.34 (sportsbet)

In the second match tomorrow we have Ivory Coast up against co-hosts Equatorial Guinea. The Ivory Coast have been in brilliant form even having the luxury of resting 9 regulars for the last group match and still winning the game 2-0, however playing the home team is a brand new challenge. Both Gabon and EQ have shown just how the home support can give them a tremendous boost which it seems is almost worth a goal. The Ivory Coast though are just looking too focused and professional this time around and will surely not trip up at this hurdle. As far as the actual final score I a really not sure, it could end up a 4-0 win a 1-0 win or a 3-2 win. It is hard to read how this game will play but I am confident that when the key moments come that the more experienced Ivory Coast will stand up.

Ivory Coast (win-draw-win option) @ $1.40 (sportsbet) 3 units

On a selection front I would be interested to see if Gervinho starts up front along side Drogba and Kalou as I thought he was rather poor in the first too matches and Wilfried Bony looked ok coming on as a sub against Burkina Faso. Then was great in setting up the first and scoring the second against Angola. So maybe a change up front?

Enjoy the games

No comments:

Post a Comment